Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1251.024778 1417.505175 1601.171084 1819.381272 2072.275958 2356.982444 2702.946370
2025-11-02 1013.743854 1240.576878 1513.901255 1869.947248 2325.054662 2892.053742 3659.358128
2025-11-09 878.256560 1132.084217 1456.881353 1907.945297 2525.994255 3354.650302 4569.309754
2025-11-16 780.802646 1048.713108 1408.358207 1934.371492 2697.456954 3785.243959 5491.885561
2025-11-23 705.766553 981.427453 1366.855745 1956.268153 2854.926390 4207.240295 6462.407722
2025-11-30 650.319441 932.604966 1341.888094 1993.429128 3032.877465 4677.181850 7580.582537
2025-12-07 581.430626 855.306923 1264.551205 1938.335989 3055.320451 4899.469104 8321.262328
2025-12-14 523.357949 787.585793 1193.236972 1881.754151 3063.825169 5093.834222 9038.689367
2025-12-21 471.659072 724.337366 1121.771492 1815.134901 3044.038682 5232.154529 9670.622991
2025-12-28 453.087120 711.594161 1129.270935 1880.666737 3261.044800 5821.928447 11279.111251
2026-01-04 429.580846 688.326341 1116.584756 1908.681095 3412.125632 6308.634370 12770.689185
2026-01-11 405.475277 661.726717 1095.352430 1918.215456 3528.307804 6742.326685 14232.180427
2026-01-18 382.349325 635.342819 1072.912153 1924.684694 3642.846484 7197.563826 15857.846691
2026-01-25 368.256227 623.546092 1075.300445 1978.607347 3860.533334 7906.131162 18248.271918
2026-02-01 353.493845 609.145494 1071.326345 2019.144951 4055.264640 8595.855975 20757.272029
2026-02-08 338.387211 592.755651 1061.938083 2047.341755 4226.747092 9260.682400 23366.374955
2026-02-15 323.960467 576.384333 1050.958333 2070.708271 4390.264501 9933.984449 26172.885929
2026-02-22 312.533596 564.719383 1047.958195 2110.369355 4596.368430 10747.828932 29608.201713
2026-03-01 291.423856 532.764944 1001.941450 2051.572193 4561.510470 10940.819630 31207.617439
2026-03-08 271.956730 502.656904 957.271322 1991.202548 4515.008702 11095.740659 32730.593138
2026-03-15 253.017146 472.336482 909.898597 1920.145290 4433.223396 11142.738880 33916.017224
2026-03-22 248.765847 471.224910 923.171268 1990.042502 4719.414402 12268.017400 39150.881895
2026-03-29 241.083724 462.530336 919.621958 2019.929999 4905.615243 13141.880416 43774.672933